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Penarol vs Montevideo City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
tir. 27. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Montevideo City have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Penarol have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Penarol have won 4 to Montevideo City's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 30. sep. 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Penarol to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Penarol
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Montevideo City
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Penarol

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Montevideo City have won more games recently than Penarol.
  • Win probability leans Penarol's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Montevideo City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penarol, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Penarol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Penarol Rent bur 18%
Montevideo City Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Penarol Montevideo City
Kamper Spilt 29 27
Seire 14 15
Uavgjort 9 3
Tap 6 9
Mål Scoret 1.48 1.67
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.86 1.37
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. sep. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Penarol
1:1
26. aug. 2026 Copa Uruguay
Penarol vs Montevideo City
1:0
7. feb. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Montevideo City
3:1
9. nov. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Penarol
0:2
17. mai 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Montevideo City
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Penarol 49 / 100
Montevideo City 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Penarol Montevideo City

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Penarol Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Penarol found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Montevideo City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Penarol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Penarol VS Montevideo City
1 Mål scoret 1.88
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Penarol
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1
Progreso
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Penarol
2 : 1
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

Montevideo City

(Away)
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1
Montevideo City
14 Oct
Atletico-MG
3 : 0
Montevideo City
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Maldonado 4
Albion 1
Boston River 1
River Plate Montevideo 0
Central Esp. 0
Danubio 6
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
Club Nacional 3
Rentistas 0
Liverpool M. -
Cerro Largo -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -