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Penarol vs Montevideo City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

74' Event
Remedi E.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Penarol
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Montevideo City
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Montevideo City lately — more wins on the board than Penarol.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Montevideo City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penarol, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • Penarol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 75.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 34%
Penarol Rent bur 68%
Montevideo City Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Penarol Montevideo City
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 14 16
Uavgjort 9 3
Tap 6 9
Mål Scoret 1.52 1.68
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.86 1.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. sep. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Penarol
1:1
26. aug. 2026 Copa Uruguay
Penarol vs Montevideo City
1:0
7. feb. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Montevideo City
3:1
9. nov. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Penarol
0:2
17. mai 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Montevideo City
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Penarol Sammenlign

Toppscorer Remedi E.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Montevideo City Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.03
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Penarol 41 / 100
Montevideo City 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Penarol Montevideo City

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Penarol Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Penarol's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Montevideo City let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Penarol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Penarol VS Montevideo City
1 Mål scoret 1.5
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Penarol
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1
Progreso
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Penarol
2 : 1
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

Montevideo City

(Away)
21 Oct
Montevideo City
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1
Montevideo City
14 Oct
Atletico-MG
3 : 0
Montevideo City
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)