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Phoenix Rising vs Lexington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium, Chandler, AZ
søn. 25. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Phoenix Rising host Lexington in the USL Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Phoenix Rising at 1.32 goals for, 1.57 against; Lexington at 1.89 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor Lexington slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 8. aug. 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.25, favoring Lexington. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Phoenix Rising
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Lexington
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Lexington

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Lexington have won more games recently than Phoenix Rising.
  • Lexington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Lexington have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Phoenix Rising Rent bur 10%
Lexington Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Phoenix Rising Lexington
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 10 14
Uavgjort 6 4
Tap 12 10
Mål Scoret 1.32 1.89
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 2.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. aug. 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs Phoenix Rising
1:0
9. aug. 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs Phoenix Rising
2:0
5. juli 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Lexington
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Phoenix Rising 10 / 100
Lexington 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Phoenix Rising Lexington

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Lexington Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Phoenix Rising found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Lexington has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Phoenix Rising stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Phoenix Rising VS Lexington
1.5 Mål scoret 2.63
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Phoenix Rising

(Home)
11 Oct
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6

Lexington

(Away)
09 Oct
Lexington
0 : 0
FC Tulsa
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 28 14 5 9 53:34 47
4 Rhode Island 28 12 5 11 40:30 41
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
6 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
7 Hartford Athletic 28 9 13 6 31:29 40
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 28 5 12 11 34:45 27
11 Birmingham Legion 27 5 11 11 37:43 26
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 28 3 5 20 32:74 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)