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Stadium Background

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki
fre. 30. okt. 2026
VS
07:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki host Stal Mielec in the Division 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Stal Mielec's 1.82 scored and 2.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have won 1 to Stal Mielec's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 6. apr. 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.88) point toward Stal Mielec. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Stal Mielec
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Stal Mielec come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 62.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 78.2%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Rent bur 10%
Stal Mielec Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Stal Mielec
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 8 10
Uavgjort 8 5
Tap 13 13
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.82
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.69 2.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.44 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. apr. 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec
1:2
19. sep. 2025 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 83 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Stal Mielec

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Stal Mielec has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Stal Mielec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Stal Mielec
2 Mål scoret 1.63
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
17 Oct
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Stal Mielec

(Away)
17 Oct
Legnica
3 : 0
Stal Mielec
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
4 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
5 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
6 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
8 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 11 3 0 8 11:16 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)