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Porongos vs Maldonado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
ons. 28. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 3-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Porongos have averaged 1 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Maldonado's 1.83 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Porongos slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 6. aug. 2025, ending 3:2. xG projections (0.97 - 0.99) back Maldonado to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Porongos
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Maldonado
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Maldonado

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Maldonado lately — more wins on the board than Porongos.
  • Model gives Maldonado a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Maldonado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Porongos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Porongos Rent bur 20%
Maldonado Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Porongos Maldonado
Kamper Spilt 3 29
Seire 1 15
Uavgjort 0 7
Tap 2 7
Mål Scoret 1 1.83
Mål Sluppet Inn 3 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.97 0.99
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. aug. 2025 Copa Uruguay
Porongos vs Maldonado
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Porongos 10 / 100
Maldonado 84 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Porongos Maldonado

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Maldonado Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Maldonado conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Porongos's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Recent resilience: Porongos stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Porongos VS Maldonado
0 Mål scoret 0.88
0 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Porongos

(Home)
10 Sept
Albion
4 : 0
Porongos
06 Aug
Porongos
3 : 2
Maldonado
03 Aug
Porongos
0 : 3
Boquita

Maldonado

(Away)
19 Oct
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Maldonado
15 Oct
Maldonado
4 : 1
Albion
09 Oct
Maldonado
1 : 1
Liverpool M.
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
San Carlos -
TBD -
Boston River 1
River Plate Montevideo 0
Libertad San Carlos -
TBD -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Porongos -
TBD -
Maldonado 4
Albion 1
Ferro Carril -
TBD -
Club Nacional 3
Rentistas 0
Wanderers Durazno -
TBD -
Central Esp. 0
Danubio 6
Lito -
TBD -
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Gladiador -
TBD -
Liverpool M. 1
Cerro Largo 0
Nacional Florida -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
1/8-finals
San Carlos -
Boston River -
Libertad San Carlos -
TBD -
Porongos -
Maldonado -
Ferro Carril -
Club Nacional -
Wanderers Durazno -
Danubio -
Lito -
Wanderers -
Gladiador -
Liverpool M. -
Nacional Florida -
Juventud -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -