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San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera
tor. 5. nov. 2026
VS
09:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. San Lorenzo have averaged 0.66 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Libertad Asuncion's 1.39 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, San Lorenzo have won 0 to Libertad Asuncion's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on 24. aug. 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.50) back Libertad Asuncion to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
San Lorenzo
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Libertad Asuncion
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: San Lorenzo

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Libertad Asuncion have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
  • Model gives San Lorenzo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Libertad Asuncion have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
San Lorenzo Rent bur 16%
Libertad Asuncion Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk San Lorenzo Libertad Asuncion
Kamper Spilt 29 31
Seire 5 13
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 17 13
Mål Scoret 0.66 1.39
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.55 1.39
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. aug. 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
1:0
1. mai 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
5:0
2. mars 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion
0:7
20. sep. 2023 Copa Paraguay
San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
27. juli 2022 Copa Paraguay
San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

San Lorenzo 36 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
San Lorenzo Libertad Asuncion

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Libertad Asuncion conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

San Lorenzo found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Måltrender

San Lorenzo VS Libertad Asuncion
0.75 Mål scoret 1.5
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)
14 Oct
Cerro Porteno
3 : 2
San Lorenzo
10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
4 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6

Libertad Asuncion

(Away)
11 Oct
Libertad Asuncion
2 : 2
Guarani
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 14 8 4 2 17:13 28
2 Olimpia Asuncion 14 8 3 3 22:10 27
3 Libertad Asuncion 14 8 3 3 23:16 27
4 Nacional Asuncion 14 7 5 2 21:8 26
5 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
6 Guarani 14 5 7 2 16:12 22
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 14 4 6 4 15:16 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 14 3 4 7 15:24 13
11 Recoleta 14 2 2 10 14:27 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)