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Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio, Itauguá
ons. 28. okt. 2026
VS
10:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Paraguay. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sp. Luqueno have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Recoleta's 1.21 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Sp. Luqueno slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20. sep. 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward Sp. Luqueno. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Sp. Luqueno
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Recoleta
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Sp. Luqueno

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Sp. Luqueno lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
  • Model gives Sp. Luqueno a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Sp. Luqueno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Sp. Luqueno here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Sp. Luqueno Rent bur 18%
Recoleta Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Sp. Luqueno Recoleta
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 9 8
Uavgjort 4 5
Tap 15 16
Mål Scoret 1.25 1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.75 1.72
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

20. sep. 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
1:0
11. apr. 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
2:1
13. feb. 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
7. nov. 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sp. Luqueno
2:3
23. aug. 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 36 / 100
Recoleta 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Sp. Luqueno Recoleta

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Recoleta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Sp. Luqueno scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sp. Luqueno has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Sp. Luqueno VS Recoleta
1 Mål scoret 0.75
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
18 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
3 : 2
San Lorenzo
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Recoleta

(Away)
16 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
12 Oct
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 0
Recoleta
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno 3
San Lorenzo 2
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sol de America 3
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
Cerro Porteno -
Sol de America -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -