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Spennymoor vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
lør. 31. okt. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Spennymoor host Chorley in the National League North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Spennymoor have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Chorley's 1.14 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Spennymoor have won 2 to Chorley's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 24. feb. 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.69) back Spennymoor to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Spennymoor
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Chorley
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Spennymoor

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Spennymoor's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Chorley have produced (1.14).
  • Model gives Spennymoor a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Spennymoor Rent bur 13%
Chorley Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Spennymoor Chorley
Kamper Spilt 27 28
Seire 9 9
Uavgjort 7 6
Tap 11 13
Mål Scoret 1.48 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.52 1.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. feb. 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Chorley
1:0
25. nov. 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Spennymoor
0:0
29. mars 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Spennymoor
4:0
26. okt. 2024 National League North
Spennymoor vs Chorley
1:2
28. sep. 2024 FA Cup
Spennymoor vs Chorley
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Spennymoor 40 / 100
Chorley 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Spennymoor Chorley

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Spennymoor scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Chorley has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Spennymoor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Spennymoor VS Chorley
1.75 Mål scoret 1.88
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spennymoor

(Home)
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Brackley
2 : 1
Spennymoor
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6

Chorley

(Away)
20 Oct
Worcester
1 : 0
Chorley
17 Oct
Chorley
1 : 1
Worcester
10 Oct
Chorley
2 : 1
Telford
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)