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Sporting CP vs Maritimo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

League Cup Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
tir. 27. okt. 2026
VS
08:15 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 5-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sporting CP have averaged 2.52 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Maritimo's 1.14 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Sporting CP slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14. juli 2023, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sporting CP. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Sporting CP
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Maritimo
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Sporting CP

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Sporting CP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sporting CP a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Sporting CP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting CP, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Sporting CP Rent bur 20%
Maritimo Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Sporting CP Maritimo
Kamper Spilt 27 28
Seire 17 13
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 3 10
Mål Scoret 2.52 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.93 1.25
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.19 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. juli 2023 Club Friendly
Sporting CP vs Maritimo
3:0
13. mai 2023 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Maritimo
2:1
8. jan. 2023 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Sporting CP
1:0
13. des. 2022 League Cup
Sporting CP vs Maritimo
5:0
26. feb. 2022 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Sporting CP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Sporting CP 76 / 100
Maritimo 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Sporting CP Maritimo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Sporting CP Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Sporting CP's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Sporting CP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Maritimo conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Måltrender

Sporting CP VS Maritimo
2.5 Mål scoret 1.25
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP

(Home)
13 Oct
Lens
0 : 2
Sporting CP
09 Oct
Braga
1 : 3
Sporting CP
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo

(Away)
18 Oct
GD Alcochetense
1 : 2
Maritimo
10 Oct
Maritimo
1 : 2
FC Porto
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1
Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FC Porto -
Academico Viseu -
Sporting CP -
Maritimo -
Benfica -
Gil Vicente -
Braga -
Famalicao -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -