Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tai Po vs Kitchee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Senior Shield. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Tai Po at 2.1 goals for, 1.62 against; Kitchee at 2.34 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Tai Po have won 3 to Kitchee's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 2. mai 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.00, favoring Kitchee. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Tai Po
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Kitchee
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Kitchee

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Kitchee have won more games recently than Tai Po.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Kitchee taking it.
  • Kitchee arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tai Po, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
Tai Po Rent bur 10%
Kitchee Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Tai Po Kitchee
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 18 19
Uavgjort 1 5
Tap 10 5
Mål Scoret 2.1 2.34
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.62 1.21
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. mai 2026 Premier League
Tai Po vs Kitchee
3:0
7. mars 2026 FA Cup
Tai Po vs Kitchee
2:1
25. jan. 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Tai Po
4:2
18. okt. 2025 Premier League
Tai Po vs Kitchee
1:1
17. mai 2025 Premier League
Kitchee vs Tai Po
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Tai Po 22 / 100
Kitchee 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Tai Po Kitchee

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Kitchee Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Tai Po found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Kitchee let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tai Po has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Tai Po VS Kitchee
1.63 Mål scoret 2
2 Mål sluppet inn 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
19 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2
Southern District
15 Oct
Tai Po
0 : 1
Lion City Sailors
10 Oct
Tai Po
1 : 1
Kowloon City
04 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Tai Po
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
Page 1 of 6

Kitchee

(Away)
19 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 5
Kitchee
15 Oct
Kuching City FC
1 : 1
Kitchee
10 Oct
Kitchee
4 : 0
Hong Kong FC
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Southern District 2
Eastern District 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
Shatin 0
Lee Man Warriors 1
North District -
TBD -
Kowloon City 4
Hong Kong FC 1
Quarter-finals
Tai Po -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
Southern District -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Lee Man Warriors -
North District -
Kowloon City -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -