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Tajikistan vs Iraq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
søn. 10. jan. 2027
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Iraq have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Tajikistan have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Tajikistan slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24. mai 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.26 - 1.01) back Iraq to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Tajikistan
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Iraq
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Tajikistan

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Iraq carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tajikistan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Iraq arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 21%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67%
Tajikistan Rent bur 20%
Iraq Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Tajikistan Iraq
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 13 14
Uavgjort 6 6
Tap 10 12
Mål Scoret 1.48 1.09
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.17 1.31
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.26 1.01
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. mai 2021 Friendly International
Iraq vs Tajikistan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Tajikistan 85 / 100
Iraq 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Tajikistan Iraq

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Tajikistan Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Tajikistan's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Iraq has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Tajikistan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Iraq registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Tajikistan VS Iraq
1.14 Mål scoret 0.88
1.14 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan

(Home)
06 Oct
China
0 : 1
Tajikistan
28 Sept
Tajikistan
2 : 4
Palestine
23 Sept
Azerbaijan
1 : 0
Tajikistan
09 Jun
Tajikistan
1 : 1
India
05 Jun
Tajikistan
3 : 1
India
Page 1 of 6

Iraq

(Away)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Kuwait
2 : 3
Iraq
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams