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Toluca vs Club Tijuana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca
tor. 22. okt. 2026
VS
01:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Toluca host Club Tijuana in the Liga MX. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Toluca have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Club Tijuana's 1.21 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Toluca slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14. feb. 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 0.94) back Toluca to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Toluca
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Club Tijuana
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Toluca

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Toluca come out ahead of Club Tijuana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Toluca a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Toluca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Toluca Rent bur 20%
Club Tijuana Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Toluca Club Tijuana
Kamper Spilt 35 28
Seire 16 9
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 12 10
Mål Scoret 1.77 1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.17 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. feb. 2026 Liga MX
Toluca vs Club Tijuana
1:0
23. okt. 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Toluca
0:0
11. jan. 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Toluca
2:4
14. sep. 2024 Liga MX
Toluca vs Club Tijuana
4:0
25. feb. 2024 Liga MX
Toluca vs Club Tijuana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Toluca 36 / 100
Club Tijuana 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Toluca Club Tijuana

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Toluca scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Club Tijuana let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Toluca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Toluca VS Club Tijuana
2.63 Mål scoret 0.88
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toluca

(Home)
18 Oct
Toluca
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3
Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 7

Club Tijuana

(Away)
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Juarez
1 : 1
Club Tijuana
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
3 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12 5 5 2 19:12 20
5 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
6 Queretaro 11 6 2 3 15:13 20
7 Club Leon 12 5 3 4 18:17 18
8 Monterrey 11 5 2 4 19:16 17
9 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
10 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
11 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
12 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
13 Tigres UANL 12 3 5 4 14:16 14
14 Pachuca 12 3 4 5 19:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 12 3 4 5 16:21 13
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 12 1 1 10 8:31 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)