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Vasco vs Boca Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
ons. 21. okt. 2026
VS
12:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Sudamericana. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Vasco at 1.31 goals for, 1.08 against; Boca Juniors at 1.54 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, Vasco have won 0 to Boca Juniors's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 30. mai 2001, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.25) back Boca Juniors to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Vasco
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Boca Juniors
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Vasco

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Vasco haven't matched Boca Juniors's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vasco taking it.
  • Boca Juniors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Boca Juniors, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 75.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 30%
Vasco Rent bur 68%
Boca Juniors Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Vasco Boca Juniors
Kamper Spilt 26 28
Seire 11 14
Uavgjort 7 10
Tap 8 4
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.54
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.08 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. mai 2001 Copa Libertadores
Boca Juniors vs Vasco
3:0
23. mai 2001 Copa Libertadores
Vasco vs Boca Juniors
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Vasco 50 / 100
Boca Juniors 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Vasco Boca Juniors

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Vasco Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Vasco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vasco scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Boca Juniors let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Måltrender

Vasco VS Boca Juniors
1.63 Mål scoret 2.13
0.38 Mål sluppet inn 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
10 Oct
Vasco
0 : 0
Remo
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Boca Juniors

(Away)
09 Oct
Instituto
2 : 2
Boca Juniors
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3
Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors 0
Vasco 1
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -