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Wealdstone vs Derby U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Grosvenor Vale, London
tir. 3. nov. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Derby U21 have shipped 2.41 goals a game lately, while Wealdstone have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Wealdstone have won 1 to Derby U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 3. des. 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.48 xG vs 1.50) point toward Wealdstone. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Wealdstone
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Derby U21
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Wealdstone

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Wealdstone come out ahead of Derby U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wealdstone's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Wealdstone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wealdstone, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 97%
Over 1.5 Mål 87%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 68%
Over 4.5 Mål 31%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Wealdstone Rent bur 16%
Derby U21 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Wealdstone Derby U21
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 10 7
Uavgjort 5 8
Tap 14 14
Mål Scoret 1.45 1.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.55 2.41
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.48 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. des. 2024 National League Cup
Wealdstone vs Derby U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wealdstone 48 / 100
Derby U21 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Wealdstone Derby U21

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Wealdstone Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Wealdstone found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Derby U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Derby U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Wealdstone VS Derby U21
2.25 Mål scoret 1.86
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Wealdstone

(Home)
10 Oct
Wealdstone
0 : 6
Yeovil
03 Oct
Barrow
2 : 1
Wealdstone
29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1
Wealdstone
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Derby U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2
Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2
Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)