Sport Tipps
Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spielzusammenfassung
The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hercilio Luz have averaged 1.83 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Blumenau's 1.63 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Hercilio Luz slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 12. Juli 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring Hercilio Luz. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Blumenau.
- Model gives Hercilio Luz a 50% chance of winning this.
- Hercilio Luz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Blumenau, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Hercilio Luz have taken 3 of them.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Hercilio Luz | Blumenau |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 30 |
| Siege | 18 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 7 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.83 | 1.63 |
| Gegentore | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Hercilio Luz scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Blumenau conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Blumenau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 12 |
| 5 | CA Metropolitano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 7 | Blumenau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10:13 | 4 |
| 9 | Nacao | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | 3 |