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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME
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Spielzusammenfassung

Portland Hearts of Pine host Charlotte Independence in the USL League One. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Charlotte Independence have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Portland Hearts of Pine have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.56. Head-to-head, Portland Hearts of Pine have won 1 to Charlotte Independence's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 2. Sept. 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.50 - 2.25) back Charlotte Independence to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

4%
Portland Hearts of Pine
6%
Unentschieden
90%
Charlotte Independence
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Charlotte Independence

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Charlotte Independence carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Charlotte Independence's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 44%
Über 4.5 Tore 20%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 82.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine Ohne Gegentor 10%
Charlotte Independence Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Portland Hearts of Pine Charlotte Independence
Spiele 32 31
Siege 8 22
Unentschieden 8 4
Niederlagen 16 5
Erzielte Tore 1.56 2.29
Gegentore 2.13 1.52
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.50 2.25
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

2. Sept. 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:2
30. Aug. 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence
4:2
19. Juli 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Portland Hearts of Pine 10 / 100
Charlotte Independence 83 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Portland Hearts of Pine Charlotte Independence

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Charlotte Independence Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Portland Hearts of Pine found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Charlotte Independence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Portland Hearts of Pine went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Portland Hearts of Pine VS Charlotte Independence
1.5 Erzielte Tore 2.25
2.25 Kassierte Tore 1.5
88% Über 1.5 100%
75% Über 2.5 50%
50% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Hearts of Pine

(Home)
17 Oct
Forward Madison
2 : 0
Portland Hearts of Pine
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 7

Charlotte Independence

(Away)
17 Oct
Greenville Triumph
0 : 3
Charlotte Independence
10 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 0
New York Cosmos
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 31 20 6 5 73:42 66
2 Union Omaha 31 19 4 8 54:34 61
3 Forward Madison 31 16 7 8 54:30 55
4 Athletic Club Boise 31 16 7 8 49:41 55
5 One Knoxville 32 15 9 8 52:36 54
6 Spokane Velocity 30 16 5 9 47:40 53
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 14 4 13 50:44 46
8 Fort Wayne 31 12 9 10 47:40 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 31 11 6 14 53:49 39
11 Sarasota Paradise 30 11 6 13 45:46 39
12 Corpus Christi FC 31 9 9 13 34:49 36
13 AV Alta FC 31 8 9 14 38:46 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 31 7 10 14 44:57 31
15 Greenville Triumph 31 7 6 18 36:60 27
16 Richmond Kickers 31 7 5 19 37:64 26
17 New York Cosmos 30 7 4 19 36:62 25
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)