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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Carling Knockout Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria
Di., 27. Okt. 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Mamelodi Sundowns go into this one as the clear favorite. Mamelodi Sundowns have averaged 1.94 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Marumo Gallants's 0.69 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 19. Aug. 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.98 vs 0.79, favoring Mamelodi Sundowns. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Mamelodi Sundowns
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Marumo Gallants
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Mamelodi Sundowns

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Form's been kind to Mamelodi Sundowns lately — more wins on the board than Marumo Gallants.
  • Model gives Mamelodi Sundowns a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 27%
Über 4.5 Tore 12%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73.4%
Mamelodi Sundowns Ohne Gegentor 20%
Marumo Gallants Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants
Spiele 36 29
Siege 22 2
Unentschieden 10 11
Niederlagen 4 16
Erzielte Tore 1.94 0.69
Gegentore 1 1.45
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.98 0.79
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

19. Aug. 2026 Betway Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
2:0
17. März 2026 Betway Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
3:1
4. Okt. 2025 Carling Knockout
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
0:1
17. Sept. 2025 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
19. Feb. 2025 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Mamelodi Sundowns 85 / 100
Marumo Gallants 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Mamelodi Sundowns's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marumo Gallants conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Mamelodi Sundowns went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tor-Trends

Mamelodi Sundowns VS Marumo Gallants
2.25 Erzielte Tore 0.71
0.88 Kassierte Tore 1.71
88% Über 1.5 71%
50% Über 2.5 43%
25% Über 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamelodi Sundowns

(Home)
18 Oct
Wiliete
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
13 Oct
Richards Bay
1 : 4
Mamelodi Sundowns
10 Oct
Orlando Pirates
0 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
12 Sept
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 8

Marumo Gallants

(Away)
17 Oct
Sekhukhune
2 : 1
Marumo Gallants
20 Sept
Marumo Gallants
0 : 2
Orlando Pirates
12 Sept
AmaZulu
1 : 0
Marumo Gallants
04 Sept
Marumo Gallants
2 : 2
Polokwane City
25 Aug
Marumo Gallants
2 : 3
TS Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Golden Arrows -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
Siwelele -
Kruger United -
AmaZulu -
Sekhukhune -
Richards Bay -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Marumo Gallants -
Orlando Pirates -
Milford -
Kaizer Chiefs -
TS Galaxy -
Durban City -
Stellenbosch FC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -