Sport Tipps
Watford vs Crawley Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup Vicarage Road, Watford 
Spielereignisse
24'
24'
Bove E.
46'
46'
Wechsel
Baah K. Rein: Nabizada A.
Raus: Baah K.
56'
56'
Wechsel
Di Biase G. Rein: Aderoju O.
Raus: Di Biase G.
Spielzusammenfassung
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
4%
6%
90%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Crawley Town
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Crawley Town haven't matched Watford's recent run of results.
- Model gives Crawley Town a 90% chance of winning this.
- Watford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Watford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 44%
Über 4.5 Tore 20%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 70.6%
Watford Ohne Gegentor 13%
Crawley Town Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Watford | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 27 |
| Siege | 7 | 6 |
| Unentschieden | 6 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 16 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Gegentore | 1.86 | 1.44 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
8. Aug. 2026 EFL Cup
Watford vs Crawley Town
1:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Watford Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Bola M.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.01
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.66
Crawley Town Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.54
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Watford 10 / 100
Crawley Town 83 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Watford Crawley Town
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Crawley Town Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Watford's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Crawley Town conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Crawley Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Tor-Trends
Watford VS Crawley Town
0.75 Erzielte Tore 1.38
2 Kassierte Tore 1.88
75% Über 1.5 88%
50% Über 2.5 63%
25% Über 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Watford
(Home) 17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0 Charlton
13 Oct
Cardiff
5 : 1 Watford
10 Oct
Watford
0 : 4 Burnley
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0 Watford
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0 Charlton
10 Oct
Watford
0 : 4 Burnley
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1 Preston
29 Aug
Watford
1 : 1 West Ham
Page 1 of 3
Crawley Town
(Away) 20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3 Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0 Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
