Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Carlisle vs Salford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Cup Brunton Park, Carlisle
sam. 7 nov. 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Carlisle at 1.85 goals for, 1.15 against; Salford at 1.61 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Carlisle have won 2 to Salford's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 28 juil. 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Carlisle. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Carlisle
30%
Nuls
34%
Salford
Projection de nul: 30% Favori: Carlisle

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

66% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Carlisle taking it.
  • Salford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Salford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 70%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 32%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 74.2%
Carlisle Match sans Encaisser 16%
Salford Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Carlisle Salford
Matchs Joués 27 28
Victoires 14 15
Nuls 7 5
Défaites 6 8
Buts Marqués 1.85 1.61
Buts Encaissés 1.15 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

28 juil. 2026 Club Friendly
Carlisle vs Salford
0:2
3 mai 2025 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:2
9 nov. 2024 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
0:1
29 avr. 2023 League Two
Carlisle vs Salford
2:3
19 nov. 2022 League Two
Salford vs Carlisle
1:4

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Carlisle 36 / 100
Salford 33 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlisle Salford

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Draw (X)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Carlisle found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Salford conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Tendances de Buts

Carlisle VS Salford
1.75 Buts Marqués 1.75
1.13 Buts Encaissés 0.88
75% Plus de 1.5 75%
63% Plus de 2.5 63%
25% Plus de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
28 Oct
Carlisle
3 : 0
Harrogate
24 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Carlisle
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1
Tamworth
10 Oct
Carlisle
0 : 0
Kidderminster
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)
26 Oct
Walsall
2 : 4
Salford
20 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Salford
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Crawley Town
10 Oct
Cheltenham
0 : 2
Salford
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Oldham -
Sheffield Wed -
Kidderminster -
Doncaster -
Leyton Orient -
Harborough -
Accrington -
Wycombe -
Milton Keynes Dons -
Swindon -
Newport -
Walsall -
Bromley -
Rotherham -
Barnet -
Tranmere -
Fleetwood Town -
Rochdale -
Barnsley -
Aldershot -
Plymouth Parkway -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chesterfield -
Yeovil -
Gillingham -
Barrow -
Harrogate -
AFC Fylde -
Crewe -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford Utd -
Stevenage -
Burton -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Cray Wanderers -
Stockport County -
Port Vale -
Scunthorpe -
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Halifax -
Colchester -
Worcester -
Eastleigh -
Shrewsbury -
Peterborough -
Reading -
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Plymouth -
Alvechurch -
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Blackpool -
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Sutton -
Stafford -
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Bradford City -
Marine -
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