Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cerro Largo at 1.07 goals for, 1.1 against; Defensor Sp. at 0.68 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 1 to Defensor Sp.'s 2, with 2 draws. They last met on 22 août 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 0.94) back Cerro Largo to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Defensor Sp. haven't matched Cerro Largo's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Cerro Largo taking it.
- Cerro Largo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Largo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Cerro Largo | Defensor Sp. |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 30 | 28 |
| Victoires | 9 | 5 |
| Nuls | 9 | 11 |
| Défaites | 12 | 12 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.07 | 0.68 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.1 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Cerro Largo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Defensor Sp. conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Cerro Largo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Tendances de Buts
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Largo
(Home)Defensor Sp.
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Danubio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | CA Cerro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventud | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Colon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |