Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Cup Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
sam. 7 nov. 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Rochdale have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Fleetwood Town have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Rochdale slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 26 sept. 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.44, favoring Fleetwood Town. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

90%
Fleetwood Town
6%
Nuls
4%
Rochdale
Projection de nul: 6% Favori: Fleetwood Town

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

95% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Fleetwood Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fleetwood Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Fleetwood Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 44%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 20%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 75%
Fleetwood Town Match sans Encaisser 16%
Rochdale Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Fleetwood Town Rochdale
Matchs Joués 33 29
Victoires 15 9
Nuls 10 7
Défaites 8 13
Buts Marqués 1.52 1.41
Buts Encaissés 1.03 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

26 sept. 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale
1:2
20 juil. 2024 Club Friendly
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale
1:1
17 juil. 2021 Club Friendly
Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town
3:3
10 avr. 2021 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale
1:0
3 oct. 2020 League One
Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town
2:1

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 84 / 100
Rochdale 10 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleetwood Town Rochdale

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Fleetwood Town Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Attacking prowess: Fleetwood Town scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Rochdale let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fleetwood Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Fleetwood Town VS Rochdale
1.38 Buts Marqués 1.38
1.5 Buts Encaissés 2.63
75% Plus de 1.5 88%
50% Plus de 2.5 75%
25% Plus de 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleetwood Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Fleetwood Town
3 : 1
Bristol Rovers
27 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1
Arsenal
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1
Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2
Fleetwood Town
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Rotherham
Page 1 of 7

Rochdale

(Away)
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4
Doncaster
31 Oct
Port Vale
4 : 2
Rochdale
24 Oct
Rochdale
0 : 5
Accrington
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2
Grimsby
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2
Rochdale
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Oldham -
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Doncaster -
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Wycombe -
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Newport -
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Bromley -
Rotherham -
Barnet -
Tranmere -
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Rochdale -
Barnsley -
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Berkhamsted Town -
Chesterfield -
Yeovil -
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Barrow -
Harrogate -
AFC Fylde -
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Halifax -
Colchester -
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