Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Lower Breck vs Chester

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Cup
sam. 19 sept. 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chester have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Lower Breck have conceded 1.1 and scored 2.4. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.13, favoring Lower Breck. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

90%
Lower Breck
6%
Nuls
4%
Chester
Projection de nul: 6% Favori: Lower Breck

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

95% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Lower Breck haven't matched Chester's recent run of results.
  • Lower Breck are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Chester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 37.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 17%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 68.6%
Lower Breck Match sans Encaisser 20%
Chester Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Lower Breck Chester
Matchs Joués 10 35
Victoires 6 19
Nuls 0 6
Défaites 4 10
Buts Marqués 2.4 1.37
Buts Encaissés 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Lower Breck 85 / 100
Chester 10 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lower Breck Chester

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Lower Breck Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Attacking prowess: Lower Breck scored in 90% of their last 10 outings.

Lower Breck went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chester lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Chester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 35 matches.

Tendances de Buts

Lower Breck VS Chester
2.75 Buts Marqués 1.25
1 Buts Encaissés 0.5
75% Plus de 1.5 63%
75% Plus de 2.5 25%
75% Plus de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lower Breck

(Home)
12 Sept
Stalybridge
3 : 2
Lower Breck
05 Sept
Lower Breck
5 : 1
Thornaby
29 Aug
Lower Breck
4 : 0
North Ferriby FC
04 Oct
Stockton
2 : 0
Lower Breck
19 Sept
Stalybridge
0 : 3
Lower Breck
Page 1 of 2

Chester

(Away)
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1
Morecambe
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1
Chester
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Harborough -
TBD -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
Hednesford -
TBD -
Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Spalding United -
TBD -
Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
TBD -
Hereford -
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Chesham -
TBD -
Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Billericay -
TBD -
Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Slough Town -
TBD -
Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 0
Jersey Bulls 0
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
TBD -
Farnborough -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
AFC Totton -
TBD -
Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Torquay -
TBD -
Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
TBD -
Farnham -
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
Brackley -
TBD -
Portchester 2
Portland United 1
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
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Truro -
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Salisbury -
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Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
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Quarter-finals
Heaton Stannington -
Trafford -
AFC Emley -
Spennymoor -
Bury FC -
Workington -
Dunston -
Scarborough Athletic -
Redcar Town -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
Marine -
Radcliffe -
Lower Breck -
Chester -
Atherton Collieries -
Prescot Cables -
Redcar Athletic -
Macclesfield -
Warrington Rylands -
Chorley -
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Warrington Town -
South Liverpool -
South Shields -
Witton Albion -
Morecambe -
Southport -
United of Manchester -
Ossett United -
Bradford PA -
Lancaster -
Bromsgrove -
Leek Town -
Barton Town -
Boldmere St Michaels -
Leamington -
Gainsborough -
Alvechurch -
Racing Club Warwick -
Harborough -
Rushall -
Telford -
Worksop -
Kettering -
Quorn -
Halesowen -
Mickleover -
Hednesford -
Coventry United -
Spalding United -
Hanley Town -
Worcester -
Stratford -
Stafford -
Hereford -
Anstey Nomads -
Newcastle Town -
Redditch -
Evesham -
FC Witham Town -
St. Albans -
Gorleston -
Bury Town -
Chesham -
Ware -
Berkhamsted Town -
Hendon -
Hemel Hempstead -
Wingate & Finchley -
Hitchin -
Leiston -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Peterborough Sports -
Bedford -
King’s Lynn -
Aveley -
Brentwood -
Needham Market -
Braintree -
Cambridge City -
Buckhurst Hill -
Billericay -
Enfield Town -
Harleston Town -
Real Bedford -
Woodford Town -
Mulbarton Wanderers -
Canvey Island -
Chelmsford -
Waltham Abbey -
Dagenham & Red. -
Kingstonian -
Leatherhead -
Dartford -
Hayes & Yeading -
Chertsey Town -
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough -
Cray Wanderers -
Maidstone -
Slough Town -
Chatham -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Welling -
Southall FC -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastbourne Borough -
Windsor & Eton -
Snodland -
Sheppey United -
Walton & Hersham -
Horsham FC -
Tonbridge -
Ramsgate -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Crowborough -
Uxbridge -
Farnborough -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
Chichester City -
SE Dons -
Dover Ath. -
Folkestone -
Pagham -
Hanworth Villa -
AFC Totton -
Gloucester City -
Torquay -
AFC Stoneham -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wimborne -
Dorchester -
Oxford City -
Cirencester -
Farnham -
Swindon Supermarine -
Weymouth -
Slimbridge -
Hungerford -
Brackley -
Portchester -
Tiverton -
Sholing -
Bishops Cleeve -
Tadley Calleva -
Merthyr Town -
Truro -
Frome Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
Thame United -
Exmouth Town -
Yate -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
Taunton Town -
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