Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Merthyr Town vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Trophy
sam. 14 nov. 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This one's hard to separate. Merthyr Town have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Harborough's 1.61 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back Harborough to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

31%
Merthyr Town
39%
Nuls
30%
Harborough
Projection de nul: 39% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

65% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Form's been kind to Harborough lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Harborough arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 25%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 11%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 77.4%
Merthyr Town Match sans Encaisser 15%
Harborough Match sans Encaisser 15%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Merthyr Town Harborough
Matchs Joués 30 28
Victoires 8 12
Nuls 10 11
Défaites 12 5
Buts Marqués 1.47 1.61
Buts Encaissés 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Merthyr Town 31 / 100
Harborough 30 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Harborough

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Harborough Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Harborough conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Merthyr Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Harborough's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendances de Buts

Merthyr Town VS Harborough
1 Buts Marqués 1.13
2 Buts Encaissés 1
100% Plus de 1.5 50%
50% Plus de 2.5 38%
25% Plus de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Radcliffe
3 : 3
Merthyr Town
27 Oct
Oxford City
3 : 0
Merthyr Town
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3
Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
King’s Lynn
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)
31 Oct
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Harborough
27 Oct
Buxton
3 : 0
Harborough
24 Oct
Harborough
1 : 1
Worksop
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hebburn Town -
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Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 1
Redcar Athletic 0
Workington 3
Cleethorpes 2
Bridlington Town 3
Curzon Ashton 2
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Macclesfield -
Spennymoor -
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Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
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Marine -
Avro 2
Hyde 1
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Chester -
Darlington FC -
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Bury FC 3
Prescot Cables 0
Mickleover 1
Alfreton 2
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Southport -
Chorley -
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Buxton -
Worksop -
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South Shields -
Leek Town 4
Bootle 1
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Morecambe -
Bourne 1
Banbury 0
Anstey Nomads 0
Bromsgrove 1
Bedford -
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Chesham -
Needham Market 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
Deal Town 1
Hashtag 3
Braintree -
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Kettering 6
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn -
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Loughborough Students 0
Stourbridge 2
Evesham 0
Halesowen 4
Redditch 3
Gloucester City 2
Telford -
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Chelmsford -
Hednesford -
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Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
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Brackley -
Faversham 0
Newmarket 1
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Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
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Harborough -
Billericay -
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Hastings 2
Waltham Abbey 3
Enfield Town 5
Hanworth Villa 1
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Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
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Aveley 2
Carshalton 1
Farnham -
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Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
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Berkhamsted Town 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Weymouth 3
Sholing 2
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Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford 3
Three Bridges 2
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AFC Totton -
Horsham FC -
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Torquay -
Didcot 2
Poole Town 1
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Slough Town -
Maidstone -
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Maidenhead -
Whitehawk 4
St. Albans 3
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Tonbridge -
Taunton Town 1
Wimborne 4
Egham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Bath City 1
Frome Town 0
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Truro -
Leatherhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Takeley 0
Chertsey Town 4
Dover Ath. -
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Erith Town 3
Burgess Hill 4
Salisbury -
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Gosport Borough 0
Chichester City 2
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1/64-finals
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Ashton United -
Workington -
Bridlington Town -
Macclesfield -
Spennymoor -
Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
Marine -
Avro -
Chester -
Darlington FC -
Bury FC -
Alfreton -
Southport -
Chorley -
Buxton -
Worksop -
South Shields -
Leek Town -
Morecambe -
Bourne -
Bromsgrove -
Bedford -
Chesham -
Wingate & Finchley -
Hashtag -
Braintree -
Kettering -
King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
Halesowen -
Redditch -
Telford -
Chelmsford -
Hednesford -
Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
Brackley -
Newmarket -
Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
Harborough -
Billericay -
Waltham Abbey -
Enfield Town -
Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
Aveley -
Farnham -
Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
Cray Wanderers -
Weymouth -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford -
AFC Totton -
Horsham FC -
Torquay -
Didcot -
Slough Town -
Maidstone -
Maidenhead -
Whitehawk -
Tonbridge -
Wimborne -
Uxbridge -
Bath City -
Truro -
Eastbourne Borough -
Chertsey Town -
Dover Ath. -
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Salisbury -
Chichester City -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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