Pronostics Sportifs
Newport vs Crystal Palace U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Résumé du Match
A one-off knockout match in the EFL Trophy. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Newport have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Crystal Palace U21's 1.59 scored and 1.66 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.33 - 1.38) back Crystal Palace U21 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Crystal Palace U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Newport taking it.
- Crystal Palace U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Newport | Crystal Palace U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 30 | 29 |
| Victoires | 11 | 13 |
| Nuls | 6 | 4 |
| Défaites | 13 | 12 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.3 | 1.59 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.63 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Defensive concern: Crystal Palace U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Newport found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Newport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Crystal Palace U21 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tendances de Buts
Recent Form & Match History
Newport
(Home)Crystal Palace U21
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Accrington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Salford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Sunderland U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wigan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 4 | York City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chesterfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 2 | Port Vale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 4 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notts County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Burton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Liverpool U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Exeter | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Walsall | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wycombe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Reading | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peterborough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Luton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Colchester | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Ipswich U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:10 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Swindon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Arsenal U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 4 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Brentford U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Bromley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |