Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

York City vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Cup York Community Stadium, York
sam. 7 nov. 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. York City have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Northampton's 0.82 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Northampton slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 10 oct. 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward York City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
York City
44%
Nuls
20%
Northampton
Projection de nul: 44% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

71% / Moyen de Confiance
  • York City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • York City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 6.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 3%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 73.4%
York City Match sans Encaisser 20%
Northampton Match sans Encaisser 14%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique York City Northampton
Matchs Joués 28 28
Victoires 11 5
Nuls 7 7
Défaites 10 16
Buts Marqués 1.71 0.82
Buts Encaissés 1.57 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

10 oct. 2026 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1
23 févr. 2016 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:2
6 févr. 2016 League Two
Northampton vs York City
2:0
21 févr. 2015 League Two
Northampton vs York City
3:0
16 août 2014 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

York City 36 / 100
Northampton 21 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Northampton

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Northampton Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Attacking prowess: York City scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Northampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

York City VS Northampton
1.25 Buts Marqués 0.88
1.25 Buts Encaissés 0.88
100% Plus de 1.5 63%
38% Plus de 2.5 13%
13% Plus de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
31 Oct
Grimsby
5 : 2
York City
27 Oct
Barnet
3 : 1
York City
24 Oct
York City
2 : 0
Port Vale
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Accrington
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

Northampton

(Away)
03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1
Oldham
31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1
Northampton
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0
Colchester
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1
Tranmere
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Exeter -
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Oldham -
Sheffield Wed -
Kidderminster -
Doncaster -
Leyton Orient -
Harborough -
Accrington -
Wycombe -
Milton Keynes Dons -
Swindon -
Newport -
Walsall -
Bromley -
Rotherham -
Barnet -
Tranmere -
Fleetwood Town -
Rochdale -
Barnsley -
Aldershot -
Plymouth Parkway -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chesterfield -
Yeovil -
Gillingham -
Barrow -
Harrogate -
AFC Fylde -
Crewe -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford Utd -
Stevenage -
Burton -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Cray Wanderers -
Stockport County -
Port Vale -
Scunthorpe -
Cheltenham -
Halifax -
Colchester -
Worcester -
Eastleigh -
Shrewsbury -
Peterborough -
Reading -
Wimborne -
Crawley Town -
Plymouth -
Alvechurch -
Hornchurch -
Blackpool -
Guiseley -
Sutton -
Stafford -
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Oxford City -
Leicester -
Bradford City -
Marine -
York City -
Northampton -
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