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1º de Maio vs Flamengo Arcoverde

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between 1º de Maio and Flamengo Arcoverde finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo Arcoverde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
1º de Maio
6%
Draws
4%
Flamengo Arcoverde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: 1º de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo Arcoverde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on 1º de Maio taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º de Maio Flamengo Arcoverde
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 1
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2023 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Flamengo Arcoverde
0:1
Sep 28, 2022 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Flamengo Arcoverde
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio 83 / 100
Flamengo Arcoverde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º de Maio Flamengo Arcoverde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Flamengo Arcoverde conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Flamengo Arcoverde's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

1º de Maio found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

1º de Maio VS Flamengo Arcoverde
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375