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1º de Maio vs Petrolina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2021 game between 1º de Maio and Petrolina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petrolina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
1º de Maio
39%
Draws
31%
Petrolina
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Petrolina come out ahead of 1º de Maio on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 18%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º de Maio Petrolina
Matches Played 35 48
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 14
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.86 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.29 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Petrolina
1:1
Oct 25, 2021 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Petrolina
0:1
Sep 5, 2021 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Petrolina
1:1
Sep 30, 2018 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Petrolina
0:1
Aug 26, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Petrolina vs 1º de Maio
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio 31 / 100
Petrolina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º de Maio Petrolina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (35 games).

Petrolina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 48 matches.

Away concern: Petrolina has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

1º de Maio VS Petrolina
0.86 Goals Scored 0.38
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caruaru31204:35
2America PE31113:34
3Ypiranga30302:23
4Ipojuca30211:22
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrolina33003:09
2Ibis Sport Club32014:26
31º de Maio30121:31
4Atletico PE30122:51