Sport Picks

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1 de Mayo vs CD Guadalajara

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

1 de Mayo host CD Guadalajara in the Copa Simon Bolivar. Form suggests where the edge lies here. CD Guadalajara have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while 1 de Mayo have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, 1 de Mayo have won 2 to CD Guadalajara's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.94, favoring 1 de Mayo. 1 de Mayo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
1 de Mayo
28%
Draws
22%
CD Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: 1 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • 1 de Mayo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CD Guadalajara.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for 1 de Mayo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Simon Bolivar provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1 de Mayo CD Guadalajara
Matches Played 18 8
Wins 9 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs CD Guadalajara
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs 1 de Mayo
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1 de Mayo 49 / 100
CD Guadalajara 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1 de Mayo CD Guadalajara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1 de Mayo scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

CD Guadalajara let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

1 de Mayo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Guadalajara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1 de Mayo VS CD Guadalajara
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310