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1º Dezembro vs C.F. Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014 game between 1º Dezembro and C.F. Benfica finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1º Dezembro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
1º Dezembro
20%
Draws
44%
C.F. Benfica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: C.F. Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • 1º Dezembro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on 1º Dezembro taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and 1º Dezembro have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 16%
C.F. Benfica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º Dezembro C.F. Benfica
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 2
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs 1º Dezembro
2:5
Mar 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
1º Dezembro vs C.F. Benfica
3:0
Jan 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
1º Dezembro vs C.F. Benfica
4:0
Nov 3, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs 1º Dezembro
1:4
Feb 10, 2013 Second Division - Zona Sul
1º Dezembro vs C.F. Benfica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º Dezembro 41 / 100
C.F. Benfica 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º Dezembro C.F. Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: C.F. Benfica conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

1º Dezembro's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

1º Dezembro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1º Dezembro VS C.F. Benfica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

1º Dezembro

(Home)
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
02 May
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
Caldas SC
Page 1 of 7

C.F. Benfica

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
30 Aug
C.F. Benfica
3 : 0
Viana Alentejo
22 Sept
Alcains
4 : 1
C.F. Benfica
08 Sept
C.F. Benfica
4 : 3
Industria
24 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
C.F. Benfica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casa Pia 14 7 6 1 20:6 44
2 1º Dezembro 14 7 4 3 24:14 39
3 Sintrense 14 5 7 2 23:15 39
4 Operario 14 5 4 5 18:17 37
5 SC Praiense 14 6 4 4 27:21 31
6 Sporting Ideal 14 5 4 5 17:19 28
7 O Elvas CAD 14 4 3 7 12:22 20
8 C.F. Benfica 14 1 0 13 15:42 7
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)