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1. FC Duren vs Fortuna Koln II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

1. FC Duren host Fortuna Koln II in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: 1. FC Duren at 1.66 goals for, 1.97 against; Fortuna Koln II at 2.26 for, 1.81 against. Head-to-head, 1. FC Duren have won 3 to Fortuna Koln II's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 2:5. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.56, favoring Fortuna Koln II. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
1. FC Duren
15%
Draws
42%
Fortuna Koln II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1. FC Duren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortuna Koln II come out ahead of 1. FC Duren on wins alone.
  • 1. FC Duren are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Duren Fortuna Koln II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.66 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Fortuna Koln II
2:5
Dec 14, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs 1. FC Duren
0:2
Apr 24, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs 1. FC Duren
1:7
Oct 10, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Fortuna Koln II
4:0
Apr 1, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Fortuna Koln II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Duren 34 / 100
Fortuna Koln II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Duren Fortuna Koln II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln II let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

1. FC Duren found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: 1. FC Duren stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Duren VS Fortuna Koln II
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Duren

(Home)
11 Oct
Hennef
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
02 Oct
1. FC Duren
5 : 3
Konigsdorf
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
1. FC Duren
1 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
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Fortuna Koln II

(Away)
11 Oct
Fortuna Koln II
2 : 3
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
04 Oct
Hennef
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
27 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 1
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 7 5 1 1 22:12 16
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 7 4 2 1 15:11 14
4 Merten 7 4 1 2 22:10 13
5 Fortuna Koln II 6 4 0 2 15:10 12
6 Frechen 7 3 2 2 14:13 11
7 1. FC Duren 7 3 1 3 15:15 10
8 Chlodwig Zulpich 7 3 1 3 19:21 10
9 Bornheim 7 3 0 4 17:17 9
10 FC Hurth 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
11 VfL Vichttal 7 2 2 3 18:14 8
12 Siegburger 7 2 2 3 12:16 8
13 Hennef 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
14 SpVg Porz 1919 7 1 2 4 8:13 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Konigsdorf 6 1 0 5 8:28 3
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)