Sport Picks

World

Club Friendly 2024

Wiltz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

1. FC Duren play Wiltz in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, 1. FC Duren averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Wiltz averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, 1. FC Duren won 2, Wiltz won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 13, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for 1. FC Duren and 1.25 for Wiltz. This points to a 1. FC Duren double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

1. FC Duren

15%

Draws

39%

Wiltz

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1. FC Duren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

1. FC Duren picked up more points recently compared to Wiltz.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 19%

Wiltz Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1. FC Duren	Wiltz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	5	4
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.63	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly

1. FC Duren vs Wiltz

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly

1. FC Duren vs Wiltz

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Duren Compare

Top Goalscorer Damaschek M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Geimer V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Wiltz Compare

Top Goalscorer Romeyns B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jasarevic M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Duren 45 / 100

Wiltz 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1. FC Duren Wiltz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: 1. FC Duren or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1. FC Duren attacking → ← attacking Wiltz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Duren scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Wiltz let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

1. FC Duren went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Wiltz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 43

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50