Sport Picks

Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 RheinEnergieStadion

Heidenheim

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

1. FC Koln play Heidenheim in the Bundesliga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, 1. FC Koln averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Heidenheim averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, 1. FC Koln won 1, Heidenheim won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for 1. FC Koln and 2.00 for Heidenheim. This points to a Heidenheim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

1. FC Koln

33%

Draws

35%

Heidenheim

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

1. FC Koln picked up more points recently compared to Heidenheim.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Heidenheim Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1. FC Koln	Heidenheim
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	5	6
Draws	10	7
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.37	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.97	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Bundesliga

1. FC Koln vs Heidenheim

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

1:3

Jan 10, 2026 Bundesliga

Heidenheim vs 1. FC Koln

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

May 18, 2024 Bundesliga

Heidenheim vs 1. FC Koln

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Jan 13, 2024 Bundesliga

1. FC Koln vs Heidenheim

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 7, 2019 2. Bundesliga

Heidenheim vs 1. FC Koln

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulter M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Schoppner J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ibrahimovic A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 31 / 100

Heidenheim 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1. FC Koln Heidenheim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Heidenheim or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1. FC Koln attacking → ← attacking Heidenheim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Koln scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Heidenheim let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

1. FC Koln went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Heidenheim lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 25

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	34	28	5	1	122:36	89
2	Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70:34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66:47	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71:49	62
5	Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65:52	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68:47	59
7	Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51:57	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61:65	44
9	Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45:61	43
10	Mainz	34	10	10	14	44:53	40
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44:58	39
12	B. Monchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42:53	38
13	Hamburger	34	9	11	14	40:54	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	7	11	16	49:63	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37:60	32
16	Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45:69	29
17	Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41:72	26
18	St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29:60	26