Sport Picks
1. FC Koln vs Union Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
DFB Pokal RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the DFB Pokal. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Union Berlin have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while 1. FC Koln have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Union Berlin slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.50, favoring Union Berlin. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Union Berlin carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Union Berlin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Union Berlin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 1. FC Koln | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
1. FC Koln Compare
Union Berlin Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: 1. FC Koln scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Union Berlin conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
1. FC Koln has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
