Sport Picks

Stadium Background

11 Deportivo vs Atletico Marte

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Diaz M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2022/2023 game between 11 Deportivo and Atletico Marte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 11 Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
11 Deportivo
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Marte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Marte haven't matched 11 Deportivo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atletico Marte a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico Marte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 11 Deportivo Atletico Marte
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.94 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Atletico Marte
1:0
Mar 1, 2023 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs 11 Deportivo
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs 11 Deportivo
1:0
Sep 18, 2022 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Atletico Marte
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Atletico Marte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

11 Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Atletico Marte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

11 Deportivo 19 / 100
Atletico Marte 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
11 Deportivo Atletico Marte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Marte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

11 Deportivo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Marte conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Marte lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

11 Deportivo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

11 Deportivo

(Home)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Marte

(Away)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Aguila
29 Apr
Jocoro
3 : 3
Atletico Marte
26 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 0
Atletico Marte
23 Apr
Atletico Marte
2 : 3
Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)