Sport Picks

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11 Deportivo vs Dragon

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Berrios K.
45'
Ramirez H.

AI Match Summary

Dragon in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
11 Deportivo
20%
Draws
64%
Dragon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: 11 Deportivo at 0.9 per game, Dragon at 0.87.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%
Dragon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 11 Deportivo Dragon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Dragon
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs 11 Deportivo
4:0
Nov 3, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs 11 Deportivo
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Dragon
1:0
May 1, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs 11 Deportivo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

11 Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Berrios K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

11 Deportivo 41 / 100
Dragon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
11 Deportivo Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 11 Deportivo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

11 Deportivo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Dragon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

11 Deportivo VS Dragon
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

11 Deportivo

(Home)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
Page 1 of 6

Dragon

(Away)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)