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11 Deportivo vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Monterrosa M.
69' Event
Lopez Esquivel W.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2024/2025 game between 11 Deportivo and Metapan finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
11 Deportivo
20%
Draws
74%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Metapan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Metapan a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 11 Deportivo Metapan
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Metapan
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs 11 Deportivo
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Primera Division
Metapan vs 11 Deportivo
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Metapan
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Metapan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

11 Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterrosa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Esquivel W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

11 Deportivo 10 / 100
Metapan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
11 Deportivo Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 11 Deportivo scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Metapan conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

11 Deportivo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metapan
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

11 Deportivo

(Home)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
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Metapan

(Away)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)