Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1461 Trabzon vs Yesil Bursa

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Eren A.
10' Event
Cakir S.
12' Event
Tuncer A. H.

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018 game between 1461 Trabzon and Yesil Bursa finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1461 Trabzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
1461 Trabzon
15%
Draws
36%
Yesil Bursa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1461 Trabzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Yesil Bursa haven't matched 1461 Trabzon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans 1461 Trabzon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1461 Trabzon here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 20%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1461 Trabzon Yesil Bursa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.06 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
1461 Trabzon vs Yesil Bursa
5:3
Sep 10, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs 1461 Trabzon
1:2
Sep 24, 2014 Turkish Cup
Yesil Bursa vs 1461 Trabzon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Eren A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cakir S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Yesil Bursa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ustabasi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesekoparan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1461 Trabzon 40 / 100
Yesil Bursa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1461 Trabzon Yesil Bursa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1461 Trabzon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yesil Bursa has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

1461 Trabzon scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Yesil Bursa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1461 Trabzon VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

1461 Trabzon

(Home)
04 May
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
1461 Trabzon
28 Apr
1461 Trabzon
2 : 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
21 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
2 : 1
1461 Trabzon
14 Apr
1461 Trabzon
0 : 2
Serik Spor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 7

Yesil Bursa

(Away)
05 May
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1 : 3
Yesil Bursa
29 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
22 Apr
Golcukspor
2 : 1
Yesil Bursa
14 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 1
Erokspor
07 Apr
Darica Genclerbirligi
5 : 0
Yesil Bursa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Darica Genclerbirligi 34 21 9 4 64:18 72
2 Ankara Demirspor 34 22 5 7 60:31 71
3 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 19 7 8 63:40 64
4 Bucaspor 1928 34 16 13 5 52:28 61
5 24Erzincanspor 34 17 10 7 53:30 61
6 Pazarspor 34 16 10 8 47:36 58
7 52 Orduspor 34 15 10 9 52:33 55
8 Buyukcekmece Gucu 34 14 7 13 47:48 49
9 Vanspor FK 34 14 7 13 56:47 49
10 Turgutlu 34 14 5 15 46:47 47
11 Golcukspor 34 13 8 13 56:49 47
12 Erokspor 34 13 7 14 42:37 46
13 Muglaspor 34 11 8 15 36:36 41
14 1461 Trabzon 34 11 5 18 51:54 38
15 Ergene Velimese 34 8 13 13 38:43 37
16 Kirikhanspor 34 7 6 21 28:55 27
17 Yesil Bursa 34 5 7 22 24:55 22
18 Kayseri Erciyesspor 34 0 3 31 17:145 -6
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)