Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018

Yesil Bursa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

1461 Trabzon play Yesil Bursa in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018. 1461 Trabzon are favorites here. Recently, 1461 Trabzon averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Yesil Bursa averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, 1461 Trabzon won 3, Yesil Bursa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 27, 2018 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for 1461 Trabzon and 1.00 for Yesil Bursa. This points to a 1461 Trabzon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

1461 Trabzon

16%

Draws

18%

Yesil Bursa

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: 1461 Trabzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

1461 Trabzon picked up more points recently compared to Yesil Bursa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 23%

Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1461 Trabzon	Yesil Bursa
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	11	4
Draws	10	5
Losses	13	21
Goals Scored	1.29	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2018 3. Lig Group 2

1461 Trabzon vs Yesil Bursa

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

5:3

Sep 10, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Yesil Bursa vs 1461 Trabzon

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Sep 24, 2014 Turkish Cup

Yesil Bursa vs 1461 Trabzon

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Eren A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Cakir S.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Yesil Bursa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ustabasi J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mesekoparan T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1461 Trabzon 64 / 100

Yesil Bursa 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1461 Trabzon Yesil Bursa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1461 Trabzon Win (1)

Secondary Pick 1461 Trabzon & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1461 Trabzon attacking → ← attacking Yesil Bursa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1461 Trabzon scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Yesil Bursa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

1461 Trabzon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yesil Bursa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 17

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Darica Genclerbirligi	34	21	9	4	64:18	72
2	Ankara Demirspor	34	22	5	7	60:31	71
3	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	19	7	8	63:40	64
4	Bucaspor 1928	34	16	13	5	52:28	61
5	24Erzincanspor	34	17	10	7	53:30	61
6	Pazarspor	34	16	10	8	47:36	58
7	52 Orduspor	34	15	10	9	52:33	55
8	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	34	14	7	13	47:48	49
9	Vanspor FK	34	14	7	13	56:47	49
10	Turgutlu	34	14	5	15	46:47	47
11	Golcukspor	34	13	8	13	56:49	47
12	Erokspor	34	13	7	14	42:37	46
13	Muglaspor	34	11	8	15	36:36	41
14	1461 Trabzon	34	11	5	18	51:54	38
15	Ergene Velimese	34	8	13	13	38:43	37
16	Kirikhanspor	34	7	6	21	28:55	27
17	Yesil Bursa	34	5	7	22	24:55	22
18	Kayseri Erciyesspor	34	0	3	31	17:145	-6