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Stadium Background

2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Perez M.
23' Event
Saiz C.
Assist: Romero O.
46'
Sub
Bobadilla C. In: Torres J.
Out: Bobadilla C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
2 de Mayo
20%
Draws
51%
Cerro Porteno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerro Porteno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cerro Porteno are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 15%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
0:2
Jul 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

2 de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiz C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 23 / 100
Cerro Porteno 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerro Porteno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

2 de Mayo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cerro Porteno conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: 2 de Mayo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Cerro Porteno
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Cerro Porteno

(Away)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)