Sport Picks

Stadium Background

2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa de Primera. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: 2 de Mayo at 0.75 goals for, 1.13 against; Cerro Porteno at 0.75 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, 2 de Mayo have won 0 to Cerro Porteno's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward Cerro Porteno. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
2 de Mayo
30%
Draws
34%
Cerro Porteno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 2 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerro Porteno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 2 de Mayo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 20%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
3:2
May 24, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 36 / 100
Cerro Porteno 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

2 de Mayo scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: 2 de Mayo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cerro Porteno conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Cerro Porteno
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1
San Lorenzo
14 May
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 0
2 de Mayo
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Apr
2 de Mayo
2 : 2
Guarani
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Cerro Porteno

(Away)
28 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Sporting Cristal
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
21 May
Palmeiras
0 : 1
Cerro Porteno
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1
Cerro Porteno
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0
Guarani
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
12 de Mayo00000:00
2Cerro Porteno00000:00
3Guarani00000:00
4Libertad Asuncion00000:00
5Nacional Asuncion00000:00
6Olimpia Asuncion00000:00
7Sp. Luqueno00000:00
8Rubio Nu00000:00
9Sportivo Trinidense00000:00
10San Lorenzo00000:00
11Recoleta00000:00
12Sportivo Ameliano00000:00
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)