Sport Picks

Stadium Background

2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

2 de Mayo play Cerro Porteno in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, 2 de Mayo averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Cerro Porteno averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, 2 de Mayo won 0, Cerro Porteno won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for 2 de Mayo and 1.10 for Cerro Porteno. This points to a Cerro Porteno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
2 de Mayo
35%
Draws
41%
Cerro Porteno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo picked up more points recently compared to Cerro Porteno.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 22%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
3:2
May 24, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 26 / 100
Cerro Porteno 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cerro Porteno or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

2 de Mayo attacking → ← attacking Cerro Porteno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

2 de Mayo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cerro Porteno let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

2 de Mayo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cerro Porteno lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 52
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115