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2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Fretes S. In: Delvalle P.
Out: Fretes S.
44'
Morel J.
45'
Ibarrola W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
2 de Mayo
20%
Draws
51%
Cerro Porteno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cerro Porteno come out ahead of 2 de Mayo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cerro Porteno a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 15%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
0:2
Jul 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 23 / 100
Cerro Porteno 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerro Porteno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 2 de Mayo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Cerro Porteno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

2 de Mayo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Cerro Porteno
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Cerro Porteno

(Away)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 22 15 4 3 37:17 49
2 Nacional Asuncion 22 10 9 3 31:22 39
3 Cerro Porteno 22 11 5 6 30:22 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano 22 8 9 5 27:21 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense 22 8 8 6 30:24 32
6 Libertad Asuncion 22 9 4 9 34:26 31
7 Guarani 22 7 8 7 27:23 29
8 Recoleta 22 8 4 10 35:32 28
9 Rubio Nu 22 6 5 11 15:26 23
10 2 de Mayo 22 5 7 10 18:35 22
11 Sp. Luqueno 22 5 5 12 24:33 20
12 San Lorenzo 22 3 6 13 14:41 15
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)