Sport Picks
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero 
Match Events
17'
17'
Acosta D.
Assist: Farina A.
45'
45'
Sub
Riquelme H. In: Delgadillo L.
Out: Riquelme H.
46'
46'
Sub
Portillo F. In: Ayala L.
Out: Portillo F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Sportivo Ameliano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: 2 de Mayo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- 2 de Mayo haven't matched Sportivo Ameliano's recent run of results.
- 2 de Mayo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Sportivo Ameliano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Nov 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
2 de Mayo Compare
Top Goalscorer Acosta D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanguina J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ayala L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
2 de Mayo 59 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
2 de Mayo Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
2 de Mayo's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sportivo Ameliano let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
2 de Mayo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
2 de Mayo VS Sportivo Ameliano
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
2 de Mayo
(Home) 22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1 San Lorenzo
14 May
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 0 2 de Mayo
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
26 Apr
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Guarani
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22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1 San Lorenzo
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
26 Apr
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Guarani
10 Apr
2 de Mayo
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
31 Mar
2 de Mayo
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
24 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
24 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
10 Apr
2 de Mayo
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
31 Mar
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)