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22 de Julio vs Gualaceo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
0 - 3
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

22 de Julio host Gualaceo in the Serie B. This has Gualaceo written all over it on paper. Gualaceo have shipped 0.62 goals a game lately, while 22 de Julio have conceded 2.07 and scored 0.59. Head-to-head, 22 de Julio have won 1 to Gualaceo's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (0.56 - 2.25) back Gualaceo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
22 de Julio
20%
Draws
73%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • 22 de Julio haven't matched Gualaceo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gualaceo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 22 de Julio Gualaceo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio
4:2
Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo
0:3
Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio
0:1
Apr 29, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo
0:0
Jun 4, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

22 de Julio 10 / 100
Gualaceo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
22 de Julio Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

22 de Julio's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gualaceo let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: 22 de Julio remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

22 de Julio VS Gualaceo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

22 de Julio

(Home)
07 Oct
22 de Julio
2 : 5
EL Nacional
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
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Gualaceo

(Away)
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
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