Sport Picks

Stadium Background

22 de Julio vs Vinotinto

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Rodriguez E.

AI Match Summary

Vinotinto in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
22 de Julio
39%
Draws
30%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vinotinto have won more games recently than 22 de Julio.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 16%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 22 de Julio Vinotinto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Vinotinto
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs 22 de Julio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

22 de Julio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

22 de Julio 31 / 100
Vinotinto 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
22 de Julio Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Vinotinto's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

22 de Julio scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

22 de Julio VS Vinotinto
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

22 de Julio

(Home)
25 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
22 de Julio
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
09 Jun
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

Vinotinto

(Away)
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)