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23 Elazig FK vs Karsiyaka

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Yaylaci O.
47' Event
Kurt I.
58' Event
Gayla A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 game between 23 Elazig FK and Karsiyaka finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
23 Elazig FK
6%
Draws
90%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karsiyaka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karsiyaka a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
23 Elazig FK Clean Sheet 19%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 23 Elazig FK Karsiyaka
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 22
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
23 Elazig FK vs Karsiyaka
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs 23 Elazig FK
2:0
Feb 17, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
23 Elazig FK vs Karsiyaka
2:0
Oct 11, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Karsiyaka vs 23 Elazig FK
2:1
Mar 15, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
23 Elazig FK vs Karsiyaka
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

23 Elazig FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaylaci O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ocak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurt I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gayla A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

23 Elazig FK 10 / 100
Karsiyaka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
23 Elazig FK Karsiyaka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

23 Elazig FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

23 Elazig FK's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Karsiyaka conceded in 50% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karsiyaka
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor30217264:1770
2Karsiyaka30186656:2860
3Musspor301610448:2458
4Kutahyaspor30177657:3758
5Duzcespor30168640:2756
6Silifke30147951:3649
7Eskisehir Anadolu30138939:3247
8Hopaspor301091126:3039
9Tokat Bld Plevnespor307101327:3231
10Kahramanmarasspor30861628:3930
11Bulvarspor30791435:5830
12Kirsehir SK30781526:4829
13Bornova 1877306101436:5328
1423 Elazig FK305111418:3126
15Kusadasispor30732025:5124
16Ergene Velimese30651917:5023