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24 de Septiembre vs Sur-Car Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2022
Fri, Oct 21, 2022
3 - 1
07:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with 24 de Septiembre advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
24 de Septiembre
30%
Draws
16%
Sur-Car
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 24 de Septiembre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Sur-Car have managed 1.83 goals a game lately — 24 de Septiembre are scoring more at 1.93.
  • 24 de Septiembre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor 24 de Septiembre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 20%
Sur-Car Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 24 de Septiembre Sur-Car
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Sur-Car
3:1
Oct 16, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs 24 de Septiembre
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

24 de Septiembre 85 / 100
Sur-Car 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
24 de Septiembre Sur-Car

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24 de Septiembre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

24 de Septiembre found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Sur-Car has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: 24 de Septiembre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

24 de Septiembre VS Sur-Car
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

24 de Septiembre

(Home)
24 Nov
24 de Septiembre
1 : 3
Torre Fuerte
18 Nov
Torre Fuerte
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
10 Nov
24 de Septiembre
3 : 1
Universitario Beni
04 Nov
Universitario Beni
2 : 1
24 de Septiembre
22 Oct
Real Mapajo
1 : 2
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 6

Sur-Car

(Away)
28 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
7 : 3
Sur-Car
22 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 4
Fatic
08 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
01 Oct
Fatic
2 : 0
Sur-Car
08 Jul
GV San Jose
1 : 1
Sur-Car
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico Bermejo 0
Vaca Diez 6
Real Oruro 1
Fatic 3
Cerveceria 2
Deportivo Juva 4
Nueva Cliza 1
Destroyers 2
24 de Septiembre 3
Garcia Agreda 2
Sur-Car 6
Mariscal Sucre 2
Libertad Gran Mamore 6
Academia del Balompie 2
Enrique Happ 3
Stormers SC 2
Quarter-finals
Vaca Diez 4
Fatic 3
Deportivo Juva 1
Destroyers 2
24 de Septiembre 4
Sur-Car 3
Libertad Gran Mamore 4
Enrique Happ 0
Semi-finals
Vaca Diez 4
Destroyers 3
24 de Septiembre 6
Libertad Gran Mamore 8
Final
Vaca Diez 3
Libertad Gran Mamore 2