Sport Picks

Stadium Background

24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torre Fuerte in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre Fuerte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
24 de Septiembre
22%
Draws
18%
Torre Fuerte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: 24 de Septiembre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Torre Fuerte have won more games recently than 24 de Septiembre.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on 24 de Septiembre taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Torre Fuerte here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 68%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 24 de Septiembre Torre Fuerte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3
Nov 18, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
3:0
Jun 12, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

24 de Septiembre 68 / 100
Torre Fuerte 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
24 de Septiembre Torre Fuerte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24S Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

24 de Septiembre scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Torre Fuerte conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

24 de Septiembre has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

24 de Septiembre VS Torre Fuerte
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

24 de Septiembre

(Home)
24 Nov
24 de Septiembre
1 : 3
Torre Fuerte
18 Nov
Torre Fuerte
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
10 Nov
24 de Septiembre
3 : 1
Universitario Beni
04 Nov
Universitario Beni
2 : 1
24 de Septiembre
22 Oct
Real Mapajo
1 : 2
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 6

Torre Fuerte

(Away)
26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Torre Fuerte
11 Oct
Torre Fuerte
1 : 3
1 de Mayo
28 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Torre Fuerte
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1
Nacional Sucre
14 Sept
Torre Fuerte
4 : 2
Nueva Cliza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams