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24 de Septiembre vs Universitario Beni

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between 24 de Septiembre and Universitario Beni finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 24 de Septiembre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
24 de Septiembre
22%
Draws
18%
Universitario Beni
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: 24 de Septiembre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • 24 de Septiembre haven't matched Universitario Beni's recent run of results.
  • Model gives 24 de Septiembre a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 16%
Universitario Beni Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 24 de Septiembre Universitario Beni
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Universitario Beni
3:1
Nov 4, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs 24 de Septiembre
2:1
Oct 13, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Universitario Beni
4:1
Aug 27, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs 24 de Septiembre
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

24 de Septiembre 57 / 100
Universitario Beni 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
24 de Septiembre Universitario Beni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24S Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

24 de Septiembre scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Universitario Beni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: 24 de Septiembre stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

24 de Septiembre VS Universitario Beni
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic2
Real Mizque3
Universitario de Pando1
GV San Jose5
Universitario Beni3
24 de Septiembre4
Pasion Celeste2
Torre Fuerte5
Real Oruro2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Nacional Sucre1
Municipal de Tarija5
Atletico Bermejo2
Real Potosi3
Deportivo Aleman0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque2
GV San Jose8
24 de Septiembre2
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3
Municipal de Tarija2
Real Potosi2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose9
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Final
GV San Jose2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1