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29 de Septiembre FBC vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo
29 de Septiembre FBC Logo

29 de Septiembre FBC

Wed, Aug 12, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 PM
San Lorenzo Logo

San Lorenzo

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Fernandez L.
Penalty Missed
44' Event
Benitez S.
65' Event
Ferreira M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
29 de Septiembre FBC
30%
Draws
70%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • San Lorenzo have won more games recently than 29 de Septiembre FBC.
  • San Lorenzo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • San Lorenzo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor San Lorenzo, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors San Lorenzo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
29 de Septiembre FBC Clean Sheet 19%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 29 de Septiembre FBC San Lorenzo
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 12
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Copa Paraguay
29 de Septiembre FBC vs San Lorenzo
1:2
Aug 26, 2012 Division Intermedia
29 de Septiembre FBC vs San Lorenzo
2:4
May 6, 2012 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 29 de Septiembre FBC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

29 de Septiembre FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

29 de Septiembre FBC 10 / 100
San Lorenzo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
29 de Septiembre FBC San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Lorenzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

29 de Septiembre FBC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: San Lorenzo conceded in 73% of 45 recent games.

San Lorenzo's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

29 de Septiembre FBC VS San Lorenzo
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

29 de Septiembre FBC

(Home)
12 Aug
29 de Septiembre FBC
1 : 2
San Lorenzo
12 Oct
Sport Colombia
2 : 1
29 de Septiembre FBC
06 Oct
29 de Septiembre FBC
0 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
29 Sept
Deportivo Santani
3 : 0
29 de Septiembre FBC
22 Sept
29 de Septiembre FBC
1 : 2
Resistencia
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -