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3 de Noviembre vs Sportivo Carapegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Martinez D.
Penalty Missed
62' Event
Orue D.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between 3 de Noviembre and Sportivo Carapegua finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
3 de Noviembre
30%
Draws
37%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
3 de Noviembre Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 3 de Noviembre Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Division Intermedia
3 de Noviembre vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs 3 de Noviembre
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

3 de Noviembre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Orue D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

3 de Noviembre 32 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
3 de Noviembre Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 3 de Noviembre scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Sportivo Carapegua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: 3 de Noviembre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

3 de Noviembre VS Sportivo Carapegua
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

3 de Noviembre

(Home)
10 Oct
3 de Noviembre
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
03 Oct
Paraguari AC
1 : 0
3 de Noviembre
25 Sept
General Caballero JLM
1 : 3
3 de Noviembre
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4
Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 28 17 5 6 56:34 56
2 Deportivo Santani 28 17 3 8 47:27 54
3 12 de Junio 28 14 9 5 37:28 51
4 Independiente FBC 28 11 10 7 43:35 43
5 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
6 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
7 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
8 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
9 Resistencia 28 9 9 10 32:33 36
10 Atletico Tembetary 28 10 6 12 39:45 36
11 Fernando de la Mora 28 9 7 12 32:40 34
12 3 de Noviembre 28 7 8 13 36:42 29
13 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
14 Guairena FC 28 7 7 14 23:36 28
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 28 6 4 18 25:40 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)