Sport Picks

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3 de Noviembre vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Martinez D.
Penalty Missed
62' Event
Orue D.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between 3 de Noviembre and Sportivo Carapegua finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
3 de Noviembre
20%
Draws
40%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans 3 de Noviembre's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
3 de Noviembre Clean Sheet 19%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 3 de Noviembre Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Division Intermedia
3 de Noviembre vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs 3 de Noviembre
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

3 de Noviembre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Orue D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

3 de Noviembre 42 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
3 de Noviembre Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 3 de Noviembre scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Sportivo Carapegua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: 3 de Noviembre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

3 de Noviembre VS Sportivo Carapegua
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

3 de Noviembre

(Home)
25 Sept
General Caballero JLM
1 : 3
3 de Noviembre
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
08 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 0
Sol de America
03 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
4 : 3
3 de Noviembre
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0
Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3
Paraguari AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 26 15 5 6 52:33 50
2 Deportivo Santani 25 15 3 7 43:24 48
3 12 de Junio 25 14 6 5 35:26 48
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 26 9 13 4 32:24 40
6 Sportivo Carapegua 26 11 5 10 31:38 38
7 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
8 Paraguari AC 25 10 5 10 34:33 35
9 Resistencia 25 8 8 9 27:30 32
10 Fernando de la Mora 25 8 7 10 28:35 31
11 Atletico Tembetary 25 8 6 11 34:39 30
12 Deportivo Capiata 25 6 9 10 30:36 27
13 3 de Noviembre 26 6 8 12 33:39 26
14 Guairena FC 25 6 7 12 22:33 25
15 Tacuary 26 4 12 10 28:40 24
16 Encarnacion FC 26 6 4 16 25:36 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)