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3K FC vs Mahia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
3K FC Logo

3K FC

Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Mahia Logo

Mahia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

3K FC host Mahia in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: 3K FC at 1.78 goals for, 0.7 against; Mahia at 1.38 for, 0.96 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.17 - 0.86) back 3K FC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
3K FC
30%
Draws
18%
Mahia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 3K FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 3K FC come out ahead of Mahia on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on 3K FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
3K FC Clean Sheet 20%
Mahia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 3K FC Mahia
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.78 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

3K FC 58 / 100
Mahia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
3K FC Mahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 3K FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: 3K FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: 3K FC scored in 78% of their last 23 outings.

Defensive concern: Mahia conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Mahia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

3K FC VS Mahia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

3K FC

(Home)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3
3K FC
01 Jun
3K FC
3 : 2
Talanta FC
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 5

Mahia

(Away)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)