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3K FC vs Nzoia Sugar

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

3K FC in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored 3K FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
3K FC
6%
Draws
4%
Nzoia Sugar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: 3K FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 3K FC lately — more wins on the board than Nzoia Sugar.
  • Win probability leans 3K FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
3K FC Clean Sheet 20%
Nzoia Sugar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 3K FC Nzoia Sugar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Super League
3K FC vs Nzoia Sugar
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs 3K FC
2:1
May 10, 2025 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs 3K FC
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Super League
3K FC vs Nzoia Sugar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

3K FC 85 / 100
Nzoia Sugar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
3K FC Nzoia Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 3KF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

3K FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

3K FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nzoia Sugar has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

3K FC VS Nzoia Sugar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

3K FC

(Home)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3
3K FC
01 Jun
3K FC
3 : 2
Talanta FC
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 6

Nzoia Sugar

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)